Cross-country comparison over absolute dates⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Cross-country comparison with approximately aligned start days⮸
Daily Dead (7-Day Average)⮸
Per-country analysis with exponential and sigmoidal projections, and new cases analysis⮸
IMPORTANT: The projections are only accurate if the fit is good (it often isn't), and assuming nothing changes
going forward. The sigmoid is omitted if a reasonable fit can't be computed, but this still doesn't mean that
the fit is good if it is shown.
The dashed lines show best fit projections from a few previous days for comparison.
Start date 2020-03-15 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,369$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(426 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,942.2}{1 + 10^{-0.035 (t - 42.4)}}\) (asimptote \(6,942.2\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $488$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(81.5 \times 10^{0.017t}\) (doubling rate \(18.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{460.6}{1 + 10^{-0.079 (t - 23.5)}}\) (asimptote \(460.6\))
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2,414$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $332$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(120 \times 10^{0.010t}\) (doubling rate \(28.7\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{334.6}{1 + 10^{-0.102 (t - 15.3)}}\) (asimptote \(334.6\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $10$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(4.12 \times 10^{0.009t}\) (doubling rate \(31.9\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{9.6}{1 + 10^{-0.087 (t - 11.5)}}\) (asimptote \(9.6\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $2$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $937$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(49.4 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.2\) days)
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $39$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(7.74 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.5\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{35.6}{1 + 10^{-0.045 (t - 21.3)}}\) (asimptote \(35.6\))
Start date 2020-03-19 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $768$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-17 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $5,711$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(433 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{6,370.6}{1 + 10^{-0.047 (t - 36.2)}}\) (asimptote \(6,370.6\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $186$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(43.6 \times 10^{0.015t}\) (doubling rate \(20.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{176.0}{1 + 10^{-0.068 (t - 18.3)}}\) (asimptote \(176.0\))
Start date 2020-03-18 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $3,201$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-14 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $8,476$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(350 \times 10^{0.025t}\) (doubling rate \(12.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{17,203.0}{1 + 10^{-0.033 (t - 57.2)}}\) (asimptote \(17,203.0\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $503$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(47.7 \times 10^{0.022t}\) (doubling rate \(13.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{611.2}{1 + 10^{-0.042 (t - 34.1)}}\) (asimptote \(611.2\))
Start date 2020-03-16 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $6,028$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $2,267$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(242 \times 10^{0.021t}\) (doubling rate \(14.4\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{2,975.1}{1 + 10^{-0.039 (t - 35.4)}}\) (asimptote \(2,975.1\))
Start date 2020-03-29 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $108$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(6.42 \times 10^{0.030t}\) (doubling rate \(10.1\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{294.8}{1 + 10^{-0.036 (t - 48.8)}}\) (asimptote \(294.8\))
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $1,157$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $1,030$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(216 \times 10^{0.014t}\) (doubling rate \(22.3\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{1,005.4}{1 + 10^{-0.062 (t - 23.5)}}\) (asimptote \(1,005.4\))
Start date 2020-03-22 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $45$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(12.7 \times 10^{0.013t}\) (doubling rate \(23.6\) days)
Best fit sigmoid: \(\dfrac{42.0}{1 + 10^{-0.072 (t - 16.0)}}\) (asimptote \(42.0\))
Start date 2020-03-13 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $347$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 1 confirmed per million)
Latest number $620$ on 2020-05-08
Best fit exponential: \(7.04 \times 10^{0.038t}\) (doubling rate \(8.0\) days)
Start date 2020-03-20 (1st day with 0.1 dead per million)
Latest number $8$ on 2020-05-08
Start date 2020-03-21 (1st day with 1 active per million)
Latest number $502$ on 2020-05-08
